{
  "$schema": "./schema.json",
  "metadata": {
    "name": "The Abundance Tracker Forecasts",
    "version": "1.0",
    "lastUpdated": "2026-04-11",
    "description": "Comprehensive benchmark forecasts from competing AI models",
    "source": "https://trackabundance.com"
  },
  "benchmarks": [
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      "id": "b1",
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      "category": "AI Intelligence & Reasoning",
      "contractValue": 1000,
      "compositeWindow": {
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        "noLaterThan": "2029-02-28"
      },
      "compositeMedian": "2026-11-23"
    },
    {
      "id": "b2",
      "name": "LLM Hits 50%+ on FrontierMath (Epoch AI)",
      "category": "AI Intelligence & Reasoning",
      "contractValue": 1000,
      "compositeWindow": {
        "noSoonerThan": "2026-04-15",
        "noLaterThan": "2026-11-30"
      },
      "compositeMedian": "2026-08-15"
    },
    {
      "id": "b4",
      "name": "Self-Driving Cars >10% of All Miles Driven",
      "category": "Real-World Tech",
      "contractValue": 10000,
      "compositeWindow": {
        "noSoonerThan": "2026-06-01",
        "noLaterThan": "2032-12-31"
      },
      "compositeMedian": "2029-03-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "b6",
      "name": "FDA-Approved Organoid Replacement Achieved",
      "category": "Health & Wellness",
      "contractValue": 100000,
      "compositeWindow": {
        "noSoonerThan": "2027-01-01",
        "noLaterThan": "2040-12-31"
      },
      "compositeMedian": "2033-01-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "b7",
      "name": "FDA-Approved Cure for Cancer (all cancers)",
      "category": "Health & Wellness",
      "contractValue": 100000,
      "compositeWindow": {
        "noSoonerThan": "2030-01-01",
        "noLaterThan": "2050-12-31"
      },
      "compositeMedian": "2040-06-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "b8",
      "name": "First Person to Live to 150 Years Old",
      "category": "Health & Wellness",
      "contractValue": 100000,
      "compositeWindow": {
        "noSoonerThan": "2050-01-01",
        "noLaterThan": "2100-12-31"
      },
      "compositeMedian": "2075-01-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "b9",
      "name": "1 Billion On-Chain Crypto Wallets w/ >$100 USD Balance",
      "category": "Finance & Blockchain",
      "contractValue": 10000,
      "compositeWindow": {
        "noSoonerThan": "2025-06-01",
        "noLaterThan": "2030-12-31"
      },
      "compositeMedian": "2027-12-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "b13",
      "name": "LLM Scores 95%+ on SWE-bench Verified",
      "category": "AI Intelligence & Reasoning",
      "contractValue": 1000,
      "compositeWindow": {
        "noSoonerThan": "2026-04-15",
        "noLaterThan": "2026-12-15"
      },
      "compositeMedian": "2026-08-07"
    },
    {
      "id": "b14",
      "name": "Housing Abundance: $1K/mo Off-Grid Home",
      "category": "Real-World Tech",
      "contractValue": 500000,
      "compositeWindow": {
        "noSoonerThan": "2029-06-01",
        "noLaterThan": "2047-12-31"
      },
      "compositeMedian": "2033-01-30"
    },
    {
      "id": "b15",
      "name": "U.S. Residential Energy Rates Fall to <$0.01/kWh (2025 USD)",
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      "contractValue": 750000,
      "compositeWindow": {
        "noSoonerThan": "2034-03-01",
        "noLaterThan": "2051-12-31"
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      "compositeMedian": "2044-12-31"
    }
  ]
}